Summary of economic activity in Wales by year and disabled status, up to March 2013
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General description
The data in this dataset relates to the economic activity of persons by disabled status. As the question on disability only covers people of working age in the survey, this dataset is restricted to analysis of the working age population. Data for the population aged 16 and over, which are also usually considered when measuring economic activity, are not available.*NOTE* From 2010-2020 the female state pension age is changing from 60 to 65. The ONS changed the routing of the disability questions so that from 2010 all persons aged 16-64 were asked those questions, prior to that they were only asked to those aged 16/59(f)/64(m) and to those in employment.
Therefore data prior to 2010 is on a working age basis (16-59/64) and data after that is available on both a 16-64 and a working age basis. Comparisons should not be made between the working age data prior to 2010 and the 16-64 data after 2010. For a long run series the working age data should be used.
Furthermore, due to the addition of a short introduction at the start of the disability module in 2010 quarter 1, a discontinuity was identified in the series, affecting this period onwards. The impact of this introduction is thought to be positive in that it prepares respondents for the set of disability questions. Any increase caused by this change should result in a more complete measure of actual disability. This change to the introduction added to the disability module in quarter 1 2010 is thought to be the key driver of the step increase in disability. The earlier estimates can still be considered 'best estimates'; for those periods and should give a robust picture of changes over time, however, direct comparisons between pre- and post- 2010Q1 estimates should not be made. In addition, due to the rolling annual time periods used in the APS, this change will gradually affect the estimates between 2010 Q1 and 2010 Q4 and will only reach a consistent basis from 2010 Q4 onwards.
In April 2013 the Office for National Statistics (ONS)’s Annual Population Survey (APS) adopted a new standardised question on individuals with health problems. This has led to a discontinuity in the series between responses for March 2013 and April 2013. This will lead to the datasets for July 2012 to June 2013, October 2012 to September 2013 and January 2013 to December 2013 containing responses on two different basis over the period of each dataset. Due to this discontinuity, WG has decided to follow ONS' approach to suspend this series until a full year’s data is available on the APS and will launch a new series based on the new questions from the April 2013 to March 2014 APS. These new series will still be discontinuous when compared with the old series but will be internally consistent.
Data collection and calculation
ONS have reweighted the APS to take account of population data from the 2011 Census. Therefore, all estimates from quarter 4 of 2004 to quarter 3 of 2014 have been revised.The local authority and Wales figures for 2001, 2002 and 2003 in these tables may not be the same as published elsewhere, as the numbers here are estimated using Welsh specific weights. These weights better reflect the population estimates for Welsh local authorities in these years.
These data are taken from the ANNUAL datasets from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) carried out by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), providing labour market data by disability status back to 1998 for the NUTS2 areas in Wales, and back to 2001 for the local authorities in Wales. The availability of local authority data is dependent upon on an enhanced sample (around 350 per cent larger) for the annual LFS, which commenced in 2001.
For years labelled 1998 to 2004 in this dataset, the actual periods covered are the 12 months running from March in the year given to February in the following year (e.g. 2001 = 1 March 2001 to 28 February 2002).
Since 2004, the annual data have been produced on a rolling annual basis, updated every three months, and the dataset is now referred to as the Annual Population Survey (APS). The rolling annual averages are on a calendar basis with the first rolling annual average presented here covering the period 1 January 2004 to 31 December 2004, followed by data covering the period 1 April 2004 to 31 March 2005, with rolling quarterly updates applied thereafter.
Note therefore that the consecutive rolling annual averages overlap by nine months, and there is also a two-month overlap between the last period presented on the former March to February basis, and the first period on the new basis.
The data in this dataset relates to the economic activity of persons by disabled status. As the question on disability only covers people of working age in the survey, this dataset is restricted to analysis of the working age population. Data for the population aged 16 and over, which are also usually considered when measuring economic activity, are not available.