Population projections by local authority and age

Archived (English only) – No longer updated.

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Chart

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Gender

Gender 1

Year

Measure1

Age

Age 1

Area

All Ages

All Ages

Age 0

Age 1

Age 2

Age 3

Age 4

Age 5

Age 6

Age 7

Age 8

Age 9

Age 10

Age 11

Age 12

Age 13

Age 14

Age 15

Age 16

Age 17

Age 18

Age 19

Age 20

Age 21

Age 22

Age 23

Age 24

Age 25

Age 26

Age 27

Age 28

Age 29

Age 30

Age 31

Age 32

Age 33

Age 34

Age 35

Age 36

Age 37

Age 38

Age 39

Age 40

Age 41

Age 42

Age 43

Age 44

Age 45

Age 46

Age 47

Age 48

Age 49

Age 50

Age 51

Age 52

Age 53

Age 54

Age 55

Age 56

Age 57

Age 58

Age 59

Age 60

Age 61

Age 62

Age 63

Age 64

Age 65

Age 66

Age 67

Age 68

Age 69

Age 70

Age 71

Age 72

Age 73

Age 74

Age 75

Age 76

Age 77

Age 78

Age 79

Age 80

Age 81

Age 82

Age 83

Age 84

Age 85

Age 86

Age 87

Age 88

Age 89

Age 90+

Isle of Anglesey

735

683

745

681

679

747

768

780

759

808

789

883

854

892

933

904

903

943

888

785

711

742

753

632

676

682

767

671

631

650

613

610

642

836

864

896

834

878

863

879

905

918

982

936

895

914

934

890

882

886

925

881

924

903

915

958

1,039

1,096

1,117

1,220

1,041

1,081

1,009

995

908

833

828

825

816

778

760

656

643

608

588

552

564

576

517

510

452

430

388

344

326

304

300

232

161

176

574

68,884

Gwynedd

1,318

1,199

1,164

1,145

1,177

1,447

1,367

1,323

1,368

1,422

1,377

1,436

1,473

1,498

1,567

1,468

1,416

1,448

1,573

1,996

2,067

1,883

1,619

1,556

1,361

1,349

1,320

1,230

1,097

1,125

1,069

1,164

1,303

1,360

1,420

1,453

1,458

1,406

1,414

1,481

1,550

1,601

1,621

1,472

1,567

1,576

1,464

1,480

1,430

1,441

1,453

1,424

1,492

1,515

1,415

1,449

1,594

1,751

1,884

1,928

1,644

1,551

1,637

1,558

1,427

1,268

1,303

1,295

1,227

1,234

1,146

1,113

1,079

1,060

1,074

1,027

992

964

888

890

803

775

677

625

642

591

492

369

240

276

959

118,250

Conwy

1,099

1,056

1,118

1,024

1,077

1,052

1,133

1,251

1,245

1,320

1,279

1,274

1,301

1,409

1,446

1,560

1,503

1,462

1,389

1,059

1,005

1,071

1,011

908

925

1,030

1,079

985

875

979

873

1,004

993

1,136

1,271

1,371

1,342

1,450

1,393

1,487

1,543

1,567

1,614

1,628

1,540

1,505

1,556

1,491

1,437

1,366

1,359

1,328

1,466

1,382

1,375

1,512

1,525

1,618

1,756

1,849

1,553

1,577

1,491

1,562

1,392

1,413

1,387

1,364

1,347

1,375

1,334

1,294

1,233

1,169

1,100

1,127

1,094

1,044

968

987

964

871

807

780

747

695

573

418

359

286

1,300

111,273

Denbighshire

998

1,005

924

938

997

1,010

1,069

1,127

1,183

1,135

1,180

1,087

1,242

1,257

1,264

1,320

1,289

1,249

1,091

1,027

1,019

962

885

849

883

962

921

907

935

903

976

895

1,054

1,152

1,177

1,205

1,281

1,303

1,353

1,330

1,335

1,407

1,454

1,437

1,341

1,246

1,227

1,219

1,245

1,170

1,213

1,244

1,294

1,277

1,375

1,389

1,440

1,606

1,635

1,278

1,281

1,232

1,239

1,147

1,126

1,112

1,110

1,087

1,053

978

927

855

843

832

843

790

754

733

720

651

672

617

584

593

513

464

359

263

228

1,043

96,089

Flintshire

1,630

1,699

1,689

1,600

1,636

1,654

1,731

1,808

1,860

1,891

1,869

1,905

1,881

1,930

2,052

2,100

2,002

1,966

1,986

1,673

1,629

1,712

1,701

1,625

1,574

1,658

1,775

1,608

1,555

1,624

1,667

1,790

1,778

1,986

2,118

2,263

2,281

2,344

2,301

2,258

2,365

2,489

2,484

2,385

2,353

2,233

2,136

2,048

1,973

1,986

1,868

1,820

1,929

1,892

1,945

2,051

2,069

2,176

2,324

2,499

1,954

1,879

1,885

1,758

1,641

1,566

1,526

1,546

1,529

1,424

1,287

1,236

1,137

1,096

1,039

1,053

952

997

854

799

756

719

652

580

594

522

469

355

266

241

931

150,077

Wrexham

1,614

1,565

1,449

1,342

1,496

1,565

1,523

1,541

1,559

1,549

1,582

1,596

1,572

1,704

1,723

1,688

1,713

1,599

1,557

1,523

1,760

1,678

1,614

1,584

1,795

1,748

1,626

1,430

1,463

1,453

1,438

1,561

1,731

1,946

2,035

2,002

1,906

1,890

2,017

1,945

2,023

2,021

1,986

1,868

1,769

1,716

1,696

1,779

1,789

1,681

1,633

1,708

1,757

1,715

1,665

1,772

1,867

1,971

1,946

1,686

1,596

1,559

1,530

1,378

1,317

1,228

1,227

1,200

1,112

1,105

1,046

984

968

980

948

879

825

803

744

736

685

604

597

578

500

485

367

239

230

961

130,990

Powys

1,247

1,294

1,252

1,279

1,294

1,303

1,403

1,459

1,519

1,589

1,642

1,630

1,729

1,756

1,803

1,838

1,773

1,690

1,670

1,217

1,075

1,294

1,160

983

1,074

1,049

1,090

1,057

1,003

989

1,057

1,252

1,288

1,301

1,557

1,592

1,587

1,721

1,694

1,815

1,915

1,962

1,940

1,967

1,886

1,836

1,778

1,801

1,683

1,820

1,733

1,772

1,880

1,837

1,792

1,889

2,050

2,114

2,254

2,336

1,939

1,993

2,067

1,911

1,705

1,519

1,583

1,510

1,466

1,443

1,416

1,327

1,274

1,236

1,205

1,172

1,190

1,045

947

1,000

1,017

987

843

830

688

652

599

455

340

315

1,197

131,141

Ceredigion

605

640

599

593

770

696

750

756

765

861

845

863

906

963

886

881

886

1,067

2,086

2,270

2,067

1,618

1,345

1,062

1,121

914

503

537

470

571

602

605

633

734

785

805

817

902

894

874

978

1,004

1,005

990

976

923

1,007

985

978

975

1,024

971

1,075

993

1,011

1,128

1,154

1,262

1,343

1,090

1,130

1,081

981

933

834

900

871

833

804

736

745

682

686

671

612

575

579

552

558

557

500

480

417

426

362

353

238

204

173

669

77,160

Pembrokeshire

1,269

1,224

1,185

1,189

1,171

1,359

1,355

1,454

1,427

1,476

1,489

1,524

1,577

1,617

1,686

1,664

1,568

1,596

1,542

1,303

1,100

1,097

1,087

1,081

1,074

1,109

1,127

1,002

996

1,089

973

1,008

1,111

1,180

1,363

1,292

1,423

1,499

1,479

1,565

1,569

1,635

1,656

1,735

1,716

1,616

1,551

1,552

1,544

1,532

1,507

1,551

1,502

1,583

1,624

1,692

1,767

1,804

1,932

2,011

1,756

1,689

1,646

1,593

1,475

1,474

1,432

1,365

1,387

1,255

1,242

1,259

1,144

1,180

1,024

1,061

976

977

885

819

766

714

690

624

586

542

468

356

272

229

985

117,280

Carmarthenshire

1,833

1,840

1,829

1,840

1,837

1,973

1,900

1,955

1,953

2,202

2,266

2,225

2,313

2,320

2,406

2,378

2,345

2,349

2,391

2,038

1,993

1,949

1,850

1,800

1,742

1,721

1,810

1,762

1,642

1,630

1,598

1,708

1,744

1,922

2,171

2,141

2,180

2,259

2,305

2,465

2,512

2,488

2,594

2,515

2,531

2,495

2,369

2,397

2,405

2,372

2,350

2,490

2,421

2,418

2,463

2,525

2,643

2,920

2,914

2,521

2,448

2,488

2,445

2,228

2,022

1,971

1,941

1,870

1,951

1,739

1,745

1,666

1,588

1,607

1,508

1,462

1,407

1,357

1,301

1,351

1,208

1,051

1,071

976

828

743

588

428

381

1,341

178,043

Swansea

2,492

2,400

2,514

2,344

2,388

2,429

2,427

2,394

2,498

2,560

2,553

2,489

2,622

2,647

2,835

2,858

2,824

2,907

3,104

3,898

4,267

4,303

3,737

3,568

3,037

3,144

3,036

2,573

2,293

2,230

2,314

2,446

2,526

2,600

2,806

2,880

2,862

3,006

2,994

3,055

3,157

3,256

3,259

3,123

3,116

3,117

3,111

3,017

3,157

3,005

2,761

2,740

2,877

2,675

2,676

2,726

2,957

2,955

3,277

3,328

2,633

2,634

2,579

2,543

2,303

2,166

2,244

2,245

2,192

2,150

2,117

2,033

1,971

1,938

1,973

1,836

1,846

1,625

1,558

1,509

1,535

1,315

1,196

1,185

1,161

1,089

923

726

489

479

1,736

227,079

Neath Port Talbot

1,507

1,528

1,468

1,392

1,382

1,465

1,427

1,546

1,575

1,631

1,716

1,613

1,703

1,833

1,826

1,870

1,847

1,855

1,834

1,657

1,696

1,691

1,620

1,532

1,450

1,520

1,528

1,382

1,299

1,341

1,443

1,503

1,507

1,552

1,668

1,760

1,778

1,887

1,893

1,967

2,020

2,105

2,100

2,080

2,004

2,065

2,039

2,031

2,002

1,896

1,840

1,779

1,844

1,848

1,841

1,827

1,858

1,869

2,050

2,135

1,712

1,670

1,649

1,616

1,496

1,379

1,388

1,352

1,377

1,366

1,277

1,256

1,167

1,094

1,129

1,087

1,077

1,043

979

935

858

845

780

701

721

632

533

385

294

255

1,074

137,052

Bridgend

1,534

1,531

1,518

1,529

1,473

1,599

1,465

1,531

1,582

1,755

1,576

1,616

1,658

1,668

1,734

1,826

1,748

1,815

1,816

1,637

1,532

1,536

1,491

1,391

1,406

1,451

1,485

1,358

1,333

1,474

1,472

1,560

1,602

1,756

1,941

1,999

1,873

1,980

1,961

2,060

2,025

2,179

2,092

2,004

2,048

1,988

1,905

1,839

1,870

1,763

1,693

1,546

1,609

1,704

1,692

1,635

1,749

1,812

1,885

1,974

1,661

1,570

1,637

1,509

1,448

1,376

1,361

1,354

1,295

1,226

1,214

1,186

1,077

1,057

1,033

979

932

886

769

808

767

682

649

619

626

547

429

368

247

190

798

132,584

The Vale of Glamorgan

1,318

1,334

1,332

1,362

1,307

1,424

1,497

1,567

1,636

1,667

1,607

1,639

1,658

1,694

1,750

1,792

1,790

1,875

1,825

1,542

1,467

1,372

1,412

1,384

1,288

1,303

1,297

1,235

1,083

1,189

1,251

1,259

1,408

1,409

1,520

1,567

1,625

1,735

1,844

1,839

1,781

1,886

1,877

1,894

1,936

1,845

1,766

1,710

1,694

1,673

1,685

1,621

1,610

1,591

1,579

1,608

1,576

1,634

1,811

1,931

1,515

1,527

1,442

1,448

1,340

1,231

1,253

1,216

1,155

1,134

1,031

1,007

986

924

906

947

889

877

795

753

776

752

653

629

567

546

422

341

240

225

937

123,275

Cardiff

4,121

3,719

3,508

3,417

3,270

3,409

3,455

3,527

3,724

3,763

3,882

3,726

3,808

3,943

4,000

3,994

3,990

4,181

4,682

6,835

7,742

7,802

7,481

7,044

6,514

5,924

5,631

4,813

4,317

4,197

4,272

4,365

4,254

4,247

4,261

4,509

4,456

4,388

4,468

4,554

4,463

4,488

4,505

4,383

4,350

4,135

3,988

3,901

3,826

3,727

3,556

3,488

3,459

3,363

3,367

3,301

3,509

3,331

3,520

3,583

2,826

2,779

2,576

2,575

2,387

2,212

2,242

2,301

2,261

2,225

2,165

2,171

2,038

1,978

2,023

2,016

1,887

1,838

1,663

1,637

1,653

1,614

1,483

1,329

1,331

1,271

1,043

764

529

485

1,785

317,523

Rhondda, Cynon, Taff

2,806

2,782

2,673

2,660

2,488

2,630

2,648

2,787

2,852

2,967

2,814

2,931

2,961

3,036

3,122

3,301

3,258

3,268

3,304

3,255

3,177

3,255

3,088

2,998

3,124

3,129

2,871

2,561

2,430

2,662

2,680

2,853

3,135

3,333

3,359

3,216

3,382

3,394

3,399

3,422

3,483

3,312

3,359

3,238

2,977

3,017

3,151

2,959

2,785

2,787

2,858

2,874

2,908

2,980

2,987

3,186

3,378

3,442

2,853

2,703

2,700

2,620

2,362

2,238

2,234

2,205

2,123

2,019

1,973

1,984

1,840

1,823

1,704

1,717

1,654

1,471

1,336

1,383

1,406

1,306

1,155

1,073

1,003

963

893

625

407

373

1,491

233,936

Merthyr Tydfil

652

691

638

637

589

617

623

622

664

714

688

713

768

774

789

800

814

842

767

731

784

717

687

647

706

634

579

534

520

568

606

611

654

747

829

792

789

781

854

859

860

887

787

798

829

756

789

809

683

663

678

707

693

713

757

759

765

796

760

648

649

653

602

580

537

584

538

521

501

497

476

444

439

421

428

376

347

320

350

300

298

256

237

230

225

199

135

103

303

55,530

Caerphilly

2,064

2,005

2,106

2,022

2,011

2,024

2,053

2,174

2,123

2,276

2,221

2,190

2,294

2,316

2,460

2,448

2,385

2,428

2,496

2,176

2,098

2,084

2,063

1,966

1,860

2,020

2,098

1,951

1,850

1,881

1,964

2,020

2,258

2,418

2,519

2,447

2,438

2,591

2,538

2,568

2,577

2,544

2,561

2,565

2,501

2,394

2,322

2,227

2,172

2,292

2,161

2,110

2,164

2,163

2,101

2,203

2,328

2,301

2,477

2,504

2,040

2,036

1,980

1,868

1,786

1,625

1,661

1,653

1,568

1,510

1,462

1,396

1,373

1,286

1,215

1,207

1,072

1,041

916

949

986

855

801

702

714

594

564

433

275

254

956

171,349

Blaenau Gwent

783

733

719

704

666

740

773

782

825

839

881

898

949

1,046

1,038

1,045

1,072

1,000

982

904

934

839

800

746

814

727

715

651

647

749

754

771

844

873

967

968

1,018

980

1,053

1,092

1,063

1,077

1,020

1,025

976

870

945

902

866

832

785

798

880

831

893

919

956

985

1,085

909

836

846

892

828

704

731

699

645

655

656

622

555

526

516

509

436

424

434

415

390

357

347

333

289

252

215

163

476

69,341

Torfaen

1,102

1,085

987

944

974

956

972

1,047

1,157

1,197

1,125

1,239

1,262

1,224

1,302

1,325

1,315

1,338

1,288

1,154

1,168

1,172

1,133

1,002

950

971

1,053

918

881

883

866

979

1,025

1,076

1,145

1,235

1,223

1,224

1,222

1,277

1,350

1,424

1,357

1,395

1,382

1,370

1,229

1,215

1,259

1,148

1,117

1,163

1,205

1,190

1,196

1,199

1,228

1,252

1,306

1,350

1,120

1,149

1,090

1,026

966

909

887

864

813

850

792

788

775

744

724

683

626

592

617

569

566

521

455

457

382

292

274

197

167

583

91,022

Monmouthshire

835

910

948

922

883

897

933

976

999

1,124

1,111

1,199

1,255

1,184

1,273

1,293

1,208

1,247

1,217

828

687

749

787

719

651

702

693

733

667

655

682

754

838

916

1,046

1,097

1,137

1,274

1,307

1,376

1,388

1,432

1,474

1,457

1,400

1,375

1,281

1,243

1,216

1,292

1,178

1,221

1,265

1,260

1,241

1,281

1,306

1,321

1,423

1,497

1,233

1,259

1,136

1,198

1,042

1,035

954

911

885

895

882

816

809

780

746

754

725

628

637

607

606

534

503

426

451

418

346

259

221

185

738

87,882

Newport

1,706

1,739

1,668

1,659

1,633

1,656

1,748

1,825

1,960

1,928

1,879

1,888

1,880

1,924

1,994

2,093

1,985

2,007

2,056

1,993

2,034

1,932

1,859

1,724

1,561

1,555

1,684

1,532

1,400

1,444

1,478

1,543

1,590

1,687

1,819

2,089

2,039

2,184

2,139

2,200

2,160

2,172

2,150

2,106

2,051

1,976

1,937

1,929

1,817

1,763

1,701

1,608

1,696

1,632

1,601

1,641

1,712

1,780

1,886

1,887

1,572

1,522

1,523

1,504

1,400

1,269

1,280

1,263

1,239

1,225

1,197

1,121

1,085

1,006

1,040

1,027

930

893

833

862

768

671

674

576

627

597

687

400

270

245

900

140,125

Metadata

Undefined
High level information
Open Data

Title

POPU1010: 2006-based local authority population projections for Wales, 2006 to 2031

Author

Knowledge & Analytical Services, Welsh Government

Notes

Added to StatsWales: June 2008.
Source: Knowledge & Analytical Services, Welsh Government

This table provides population projections for local authorities in Wales by the following categories (the data can be found by using the interactive drill down method):

Gender: All persons, males & females,
Age-group: Quinary age-groups, single year of age
Year: Mid year population for 2006 through to 2031

Population Projections
This is the first time that population projections have been published for the 22 unitary authorities in Wales.

Population projections provide estimates of the size of the future population, and are based on assumptions about births, deaths and migration. The assumptions are based on past trends. Projections only indicate what may happen should the recent trends continue. Projections done in this way do not make allowances for the effects of local or central government policies on future population levels, distribution and change.

Base Population
The 2006 population estimates have been used as the base for the local authority projections. The projections have been produced for a period of 25 years, that is to 2031. Projections become increasingly uncertain the further we try to look into the future.

The projected population is for 30 June each year. The 2006 mid year estimates of population have been used as the base population for these projections. The base population estimates are based on the usually resident population. Usual residents away from home temporarily are included, but visitors are excluded. Students are counted at their term-time address. It should also be noted that the UN definition of an international migrant is used - those changing country of residence for a period of at least 12 months. Short-term migrants (eg migrant workers from Eastern European countries) are not counted in the population estimates and hence are not included in the population projections.

Contact - stats.popcensus@wales.gsi.gov.uk

Keywords

Population Projections

Data licensing

You may use and re-use this data free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government License - see http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence

Name

popu1010