Estimates of Housing Need (2019-based) by Variant and Year

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Region

Region 1

Tenure

Tenure 1

Measure1

Year

Variant

2019/20

2020/21

2021/22

2022/23

2023/24

2024/25

2025/26

2026/27

2027/28

2028/29

2029/30

2030/31

2031/32

2032/33

2033/34

2034/35

2035/36

2036/37

2037/38

2038/39

Central Estimate Based on principle household projections

7,095

7,225

7,711

7,451

7,348

5,904

5,782

5,539

5,297

5,180

4,993

4,980

4,841

4,657

4,499

4,489

4,491

4,325

4,138

4,114

Higher Variant Based on higher variant household projections

7,763

8,046

8,697

8,580

8,590

7,264

7,245

7,107

6,977

6,973

6,916

7,027

7,023

6,965

6,940

7,055

7,201

7,166

7,114

7,246

Lower Variant Based on lower variant household projections

6,274

6,209

6,498

6,047

5,741

4,134

3,833

3,441

3,083

2,842

2,505

2,338

2,036

1,688

1,356

1,167

959

596

204

. $For this data point, household projections indicate an annual decrease in the number of households, leading to a negative figure for newly arising housing need. This value is therefore not applicable and has been treated as zero at the regional level throughout the statistical article and the StatsWales tables. Estimates of newly arising housing need at the Wales level are based on Wales level household projections, and do not correspond to the sum of the regions in cases where one or more of the region\’s values are not applicable.$

Metadata

High level information
Summary information
Weblinks
Keywords
Statistical quality information
Open Data

Title

Estimates of Additional Housing Need in Wales (2019-based)

Last update

13 August 2020

Next update

Not known

Publishing organisation

Welsh Government

Source 1

2018-based projections for local authorities in Wales, Welsh Government

Source 2

2011 Census, Office for National Statistics

Source 3

Homelessness data collection, Welsh Government

Contact email

stats.housing@gov.wales

Lowest level of geographical disaggregation

Welsh Government economic regions

Geographical coverage

Welsh Government economic regions

Languages covered

English and Welsh

Data licensing

You may use and re-use this data free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government License - see http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence

General description

These are 2019-based estimates of overall additional housing need in Wales. They are based on estimates of existing unmet need and newly arising need. The overall estimates cover 20 years at both a national and a regional level.
Estimates of the need for additional housing units by tenure are based on a set of assumptions. Estimates of additional housing need by tenure are for the period 2019/20 to 2023/24 only.
The sum of the newly arising need for the four regions may differ from that for Wales due to rounding differences. Also, for some years under the lower variant, for North and Mid Wales the newly arising need is negative. This is set to zero within the region but included within the Wales newly arising need resulting in the Wales figure being lower than the sum of the four regions’ newly arising need.

Data collection and calculation

2018-based household projections have been used to calculate newly arising need. Existing unmet need is calculated from the 2011 Census and Households in Temporary Accommodation. Estimates of the need for additional housing units by tenure are based on a set of assumptions (see related article for further information).

Data reference periods

2019/20 to 2038/39 for overall estimates
2019/20 to 2023/24 for estimates by tenure

Users, uses and context

Please find this information in the related statistical publications, as per the given weblink.

Rounding applied

2018-based household projections have been rounded to the nearest whole number.

Weblinks

https://gov.wales/estimates-housing-need

Keywords

Housing, Housing Need

Statistical quality

Please find this information in the related statistical publications, as per the given weblink.

Name

HOUS2203