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Welsh Government
Data Provider: Welsh Government Average Annual Estimates of Housing Need (2019-based) by Region, Variant and Year (5 Year Period)
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Click here to sort2019/20 - 2023/24Average annual estimate for 2019/20 to 2023/24Click here to sort2024/25 - 2028/29Average annual estimate for 2024/25 to 2028/29Click here to sort2029/30 - 2033/34Average annual estimate for 2029/30 to 2033/34Click here to sort2034/35 - 2038/39Average annual estimate for 2034/35 to 2038/39
Central EstimateBased on principle household projections[Collapse]WalesThe sum of the newly arising need for the four regions may differ from that for Wales. Please refer to Summary information for more details.7,3665,5404,7944,311
WalesThe sum of the newly arising need for the four regions may differ from that for Wales. Please refer to Summary information for more details.North WalesWelsh Economic Regions. North Wales: Isle of Anglesey, Gwynedd, Conwy, Denbighshire, Flintshire, Wrexham1,231810643557
Mid WalesWelsh Economic Regions. Mid Wales: Powys, Ceredigion1331287532
South West WalesWelsh Economic Regions. South West Wales: Pembrokeshire, Carmarthenshire, Swansea, Neath Port Talbot1,6421,3111,1201,041
South East WalesWelsh Economic Regions. South East Wales: Bridgend, Vale of Glamorgan, Cardiff, Rhondda Cynon Taf, Merthyr Tydfil, Caerphilly, Blaenau Gwent, Torfaen, Monmouthshire, Newport4,3583,2912,9562,681
Higher VariantBased on higher variant household projections[Collapse]WalesThe sum of the newly arising need for the four regions may differ from that for Wales. Please refer to Summary information for more details.8,3367,1136,9747,156
WalesThe sum of the newly arising need for the four regions may differ from that for Wales. Please refer to Summary information for more details.North WalesWelsh Economic Regions. North Wales: Isle of Anglesey, Gwynedd, Conwy, Denbighshire, Flintshire, Wrexham1,4431,1481,1151,177
Mid WalesWelsh Economic Regions. Mid Wales: Powys, Ceredigion194227213217
South West WalesWelsh Economic Regions. South West Wales: Pembrokeshire, Carmarthenshire, Swansea, Neath Port Talbot1,8581,6551,6031,678
South East WalesWelsh Economic Regions. South East Wales: Bridgend, Vale of Glamorgan, Cardiff, Rhondda Cynon Taf, Merthyr Tydfil, Caerphilly, Blaenau Gwent, Torfaen, Monmouthshire, Newport4,8394,0844,0444,085
Lower VariantBased on lower variant household projections[Collapse]WalesThe sum of the newly arising need for the four regions may differ from that for Wales. Please refer to Summary information for more details.6,1543,4671,985585
WalesThe sum of the newly arising need for the four regions may differ from that for Wales. Please refer to Summary information for more details.North WalesWelsh Economic Regions. North Wales: Isle of Anglesey, Gwynedd, Conwy, Denbighshire, Flintshire, Wrexham96836860.For this data point, household projections indicate an annual decrease in the number of households, leading to a negative figure for newly arising housing need. This value is therefore not applicable and has been treated as zero at the regional level throughout the statistical article and the StatsWales tables. Estimates of newly arising housing need at the Wales level are based on Wales level household projections, and do not correspond to the sum of the regions in cases where one or more of the region\’s values are not applicable.
Mid WalesWelsh Economic Regions. Mid Wales: Powys, Ceredigion6714.For this data point, household projections indicate an annual decrease in the number of households, leading to a negative figure for newly arising housing need. This value is therefore not applicable and has been treated as zero at the regional level throughout the statistical article and the StatsWales tables. Estimates of newly arising housing need at the Wales level are based on Wales level household projections, and do not correspond to the sum of the regions in cases where one or more of the region\’s values are not applicable..For this data point, household projections indicate an annual decrease in the number of households, leading to a negative figure for newly arising housing need. This value is therefore not applicable and has been treated as zero at the regional level throughout the statistical article and the StatsWales tables. Estimates of newly arising housing need at the Wales level are based on Wales level household projections, and do not correspond to the sum of the regions in cases where one or more of the region\’s values are not applicable.
South West WalesWelsh Economic Regions. South West Wales: Pembrokeshire, Carmarthenshire, Swansea, Neath Port Talbot1,376860497201
South East WalesWelsh Economic Regions. South East Wales: Bridgend, Vale of Glamorgan, Cardiff, Rhondda Cynon Taf, Merthyr Tydfil, Caerphilly, Blaenau Gwent, Torfaen, Monmouthshire, Newport3,7492,2341,546835

Metadata

General description

These are 2019-based estimates of overall additional housing need in Wales. They are based on estimates of existing unmet need and newly arising need. The estimates cover 20 years at both a national and a regional level and are presented as an annual average over a 5-year period. Estimates of additional housing need by tenure are for the period 2019/20 to 2023/24 only.
The sum of the newly arising need for the four regions may differ from that for Wales due to rounding differences. Also, for some years under the lower variant, for North and Mid Wales the newly arising need is negative. This is set to zero within the region but included within the Wales newly arising need resulting in the Wales figure being lower than the sum of the four regions’ newly arising need.

Data collection and calculation

2018-based household projections have been used to calculate newly arising need. Existing unmet need is calculated from the 2011 census and households in temporary accommodation. Estimates of the need for additional housing units by tenure are based on a set of assumptions (see related article for further information).

Data reference periods

2019/20 to 2038/39

Users, uses and context

Please find this information in the related statistical publication, as per the given weblink.

Rounding applied

2018-based household projections have been rounded to the nearest whole number.

Title

Average Annual 2019-based Estimates of Additional Housing Need in Wales over 5-Year Periods

Last update

13 August 2020 13 August 2020

Next update

Not known

Publishing organisation

Welsh Government

Source 1

2018-based projections for local authorities in Wales, Welsh Government

Source 2

2011 Census, Office for National Statistics

Source 3

Homelessness data collection, Welsh Government

Contact email

stats.housing@gov.wales

Designation

None

Lowest level of geographical disaggregation

Welsh Government economic regions

Geographical coverage

Welsh Government economic regions

Languages covered

English and Welsh

Data licensing

You may use and re-use this data free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government License - see http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence

Statistical quality

Please find this information in the related statistical publication, as per the given weblink.

Keywords

Housing, Housing Need

Name

HOUS2204