Title

2013-based household projections for National Parks in Wales, 2013 to 2038

Last update

31 March 2016 31 March 2016

Next update

Not updated, will be replaced by a future projection

Publishing organisation

Welsh Government

Source 1

2013-based household projections for National Park areas in Wales, Welsh Government

Contact email

stats.housing@wales.gsi.gov.uk

Designation

None

Lowest level of geographical disaggregation

National Parks

Geographical coverage

Wales

Languages covered

English only

Data licensing

You may use and re-use this data free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government License - see http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence

Keywords

Household projections; household growth; household formation; household size; population projections; population growth

General description

This dataset provides household projections for National Park authorities in Wales by household type from the base year of 2013, through the projection period to 2038. This is the third set of projections published for the National Park authorities in Wales.

Note that the projections become increasingly uncertain the further we try to look into the future.

Data collection and calculation

Data are calculated using a methodology which uses the 2013 to 2038 population projections data published previously along with information on household structure from the 2011 Census. For more information on the methodology, please see the statistical release in weblinks.

The methodology was developed in conjunction with the Wales Sub-National Household Projections (WASHP) Working Group. Members of WASHP include representatives with experience of demographic and housing data from Welsh local authorities, the Local Government Data Unit and the Welsh Government.

Projections only indicate what may happen should the recent trends continue. Projections done in this way do not make allowances for the effects of local or central government policies on future population levels, distribution and change. They are merely an indication of what would happen if certain assumptions were realised.

Four migration variants are also calculated and included here, covering different migration scenarios, ranging from a zero migration estimate, to a low estimate, to a high estimate. A further estimate based on projecting forward the average migration patterns over the last ten years is also available.

Frequency of publication

Every two to four years

Data reference periods

Data are published for the period 2013 to 2038.

Users, uses and context

See the statistical release in weblinks.

Rounding applied

Data are rounded independently to the nearest whole number and may not add exactly.

Statistical quality

See the statistical release in weblinks.

Weblinks

Local authority/National Park household projections statistical release: http://gov.wales/statistics-and-research/household-projections/?lang=en;

Name

Hous0114