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Data Provider: Welsh Government National Statistics Household projections by local authority, variant and year
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[Collapse]Wales[Collapse]Isle of AngleseyPrincipal31,17031,21731,26331,31431,37231,42331,47331,51331,55331,58731,62131,66231,69231,72331,75231,78231,80931,83531,85631,87331,89631,92731,95231,97732,00232,028
Lower variant31,17031,21731,24431,27231,30531,32631,34431,34731,34831,33931,32831,32131,30131,27731,24831,21631,17831,13531,08231,02030,96130,90530,83930,77030,69530,614
Higher variant31,17031,21831,27931,34831,42831,50331,58031,64731,71831,78431,85331,93232,00232,07632,15032,22932,30832,38832,46632,54332,62932,72532,81932,91633,01633,119
Ten year average migration variant31,17031,21631,26031,30731,36031,40631,44931,48131,51431,54031,56631,59931,62231,64431,66531,68631,70731,72631,74131,75331,77331,80031,82231,84531,87031,895
Fifteen year average migration variant31,17031,25831,34231,42931,52131,60431,68331,75031,81731,87531,93431,99832,05232,10532,15532,20532,25432,30132,34332,38132,42632,47932,52532,57332,62132,669
Zero migration variant31,17031,12531,06530,99830,92830,84430,75230,64930,54530,43230,31230,19830,07929,96229,84429,72529,60029,46729,32729,17429,03428,90528,77628,64928,52728,405
[Collapse]GwyneddPrincipal54,34154,58954,79055,00655,25355,49955,74355,98856,23156,46756,69156,90757,12357,34657,55257,75157,94558,14158,34058,54058,72258,91259,10559,30259,49459,678
Lower variant54,34154,58854,75854,93555,13555,32855,51255,69055,86056,01856,16056,28956,41456,54056,64356,73356,81156,88556,95357,01557,04857,07757,09557,10657,10357,086
Higher variant54,34154,58954,81855,06655,35155,64055,93256,22956,52756,82257,10957,39157,67957,97858,26558,54958,83259,12359,42259,72860,02160,33260,65660,99061,32561,655
Ten year average migration variant54,34154,45454,53554,63254,75354,87554,99955,12655,25355,37455,48155,58255,68455,79355,88655,97256,05556,14256,23456,32956,40756,49756,59456,69856,80056,898
Fifteen year average migration variant54,34154,45054,53554,64454,78054,91955,06155,20655,35155,48855,61055,72455,84055,96456,07256,17456,27256,37556,48556,59856,69556,80656,92457,04857,17157,291
Zero migration variant54,34154,43354,48854,57654,72754,87554,98055,01555,03255,04555,03554,99354,93054,86454,76554,65454,54554,43654,32954,22854,09753,98553,85553,72453,59053,449
[Collapse]ConwyPrincipal52,75352,96153,16053,37353,60153,81654,03054,23954,44354,63454,82155,01255,19055,37455,54255,70755,87456,03456,19656,34856,48756,61056,73456,85056,95657,061
Lower variant52,75352,96153,12853,30453,48953,65453,81253,95954,09454,21154,31954,42454,51154,59754,65954,71254,75854,78954,81454,82054,80554,76754,72454,66554,58854,501
Higher variant52,75352,96253,18753,43153,69653,95254,21254,47154,73054,97955,23055,48855,74056,00356,25456,51056,77357,03357,30257,56857,82558,07058,32258,56958,81359,061
Ten year average migration variant52,75352,90853,05553,21653,39353,55553,71753,87654,03054,17354,31354,45854,59054,73054,85454,97855,10555,22755,35555,47555,58455,68055,77955,87155,95656,041
Fifteen year average migration variant52,75352,94153,12253,31853,53053,72653,92254,11654,30454,47854,65154,82654,98755,15655,30755,45955,61255,75955,91156,05656,18956,31056,43456,55056,66056,769
Zero migration variant52,75352,55752,32652,08251,83051,55551,27851,02950,76650,48450,19849,91949,62149,33849,03348,72848,43048,11347,80147,48647,16046,82446,52346,21845,91245,613
[Collapse]DenbighshirePrincipal41,63941,76841,87441,99442,13542,26242,38942,50242,60842,70742,78842,87842,96543,04443,12443,19543,26543,33043,39643,45243,50343,56043,61743,67843,73643,799
Lower variant41,63941,76741,84741,93542,03942,12442,20342,26342,31142,34742,36142,38142,39142,38842,38142,35942,33042,28942,24142,17742,10242,02741,94741,86641,77641,685
Higher variant41,63941,76841,89742,04342,21542,37742,54342,69742,84942,99643,13043,27643,42443,56743,71743,86244,01144,15944,31244,46144,61044,76744,92645,09445,26245,440
Ten year average migration variant41,63941,76741,87041,98742,12442,24842,37242,48142,58642,68442,76542,85542,94343,02143,10043,17143,24143,30543,36943,42543,47743,53543,59143,65343,71343,779
Fifteen year average migration variant41,63941,86042,05442,25942,48042,68842,89143,07843,25843,42743,57743,73543,88744,02744,16544,29344,41844,53544,65144,75944,86144,96845,07345,18145,28745,398
Zero migration variant41,63941,53641,40441,27441,15341,01540,88040,74240,60040,45440,28040,11639,95039,76639,57939,38839,19438,99238,80138,58638,37438,18137,99737,83137,67437,528
[Collapse]FlintshirePrincipal66,23166,55266,86267,15867,47067,75268,02068,26668,49868,70168,88669,05569,20869,34569,49669,62869,75369,88270,00870,12370,23970,35470,48070,60370,73870,880
Lower variant66,23166,55166,82367,07267,32667,54267,73367,89568,03568,13768,21768,27468,30768,31768,33268,32168,29468,26368,21868,15468,08168,00267,92667,84167,75967,675
Higher variant66,23166,55366,89367,22867,58567,92168,24668,55668,85769,13369,39769,65169,89570,12970,38570,62770,87071,12271,37771,62971,88672,14872,42372,70172,99673,304
Ten year average migration variant66,23166,50966,77567,02767,29367,53167,75467,95568,14268,30268,44668,57568,69068,79068,90469,00069,09169,18469,27469,35469,43269,51169,60069,68769,78669,891
Fifteen year average migration variant66,23166,53066,81867,09067,37667,63267,87368,09168,29568,47168,63168,77668,90869,02469,15569,26869,37669,48869,59769,69669,79569,89470,00270,10970,22770,351
Zero migration variant66,23166,42266,59066,72566,86066,96167,05267,12567,18567,21167,20067,17567,13467,06767,00666,90966,79966,70066,58666,45466,31366,17466,05265,92065,80165,678
[Collapse]WrexhamPrincipal58,74658,81958,87258,93559,00459,06459,12359,16359,21359,24559,27859,31359,33059,35059,36759,38059,39559,40959,42759,43859,44859,46359,48559,51259,54459,578
Lower variant58,74658,81958,83558,85458,86958,86858,85758,82358,78958,73458,67458,61258,52558,43758,33958,23158,11857,99757,87257,73157,58357,43157,28057,12556,96656,801
Higher variant58,74658,82058,90259,00059,11159,22059,33159,42859,53759,63459,73559,84359,93660,03960,14360,24960,36260,47960,60660,73060,85960,99761,14961,30961,48061,660
Ten year average migration variant58,74659,00659,23759,47459,71159,93560,15460,35360,55760,74260,92461,10561,26661,42961,58661,73561,88462,02862,17662,31362,44762,58362,72662,86963,01763,165
Fifteen year average migration variant58,74659,11059,44459,78060,11560,43560,74761,03961,33561,61061,88162,15162,39962,64962,89163,12563,35863,58563,81564,03364,24664,46164,68264,90365,12865,352
Zero migration variant58,74658,87158,96259,05159,13459,20359,27259,33259,39959,44159,47659,51659,54259,56459,57459,57159,56659,55759,55759,53859,51359,49159,48059,46159,43959,414
[Collapse]PowysPrincipal59,66459,82659,98460,15260,32360,47860,63960,77360,90661,01761,12361,22261,30561,38661,46061,53261,60761,67661,76161,84061,92161,99962,07662,15462,23762,319
Lower variant59,66459,82559,95060,07560,19860,29860,39560,46060,51660,54360,56260,56860,55160,52660,48660,43760,38260,31460,25160,17460,09159,99859,89859,79259,68259,560
Higher variant59,66459,82760,01460,21660,42760,62960,84061,03061,22461,39861,57461,74761,91062,07762,24262,41162,59062,76962,97063,17163,38063,59063,80364,02264,25164,486
Ten year average migration variant59,66459,83059,99060,15660,32560,47460,62660,75060,87260,97161,06661,15561,22661,29561,35361,40961,46761,52061,59061,65361,71961,78261,84461,90861,97762,045
Fifteen year average migration variant59,66459,97560,28460,59560,90661,19561,48261,73761,98862,21162,42662,63062,81262,98763,14863,30263,45863,60463,76563,91764,07164,22064,36664,51364,66264,808
Zero migration variant59,66459,61759,52959,42359,29359,13158,97158,78358,58458,35458,11057,84957,57757,28656,99356,68156,35756,00255,66455,30354,95354,59854,23553,87853,52653,167
[Collapse]CeredigionPrincipal31,19031,03530,90130,78930,70430,65630,63730,64230,65530,67430,68530,69630,72030,74230,74530,71930,68730,65830,62430,57630,51230,45530,41230,37530,34130,316
Lower variant31,19031,03530,88330,75030,64030,56330,51230,48130,45530,43230,39930,36430,33730,30730,25430,16830,07229,97529,86929,74329,59629,44029,28429,12428,96228,807
Higher variant31,19031,03630,91730,82330,75930,73530,74430,77830,82330,87630,92330,97331,03731,10231,15231,17531,19531,22131,24631,25931,26031,28031,32331,38131,44331,514
Ten year average migration variant31,19031,10031,04530,98830,93030,89330,88230,89130,90530,92530,93130,93430,94830,96230,95030,90730,85830,81430,76630,70230,62130,55130,49930,45530,41530,384
Fifteen year average migration variant31,19031,15831,17031,17631,18231,20931,25631,32131,38931,46031,51431,56431,62531,68331,71331,71131,70331,69931,69031,66231,61931,58631,57231,56431,55731,558
Zero migration variant31,19031,24731,27531,33131,40831,50031,57131,55931,51131,43831,34731,25131,16131,04130,90430,74030,57630,45830,37030,27430,16530,05129,91029,75629,59429,454
[Collapse]PembrokeshirePrincipal55,61855,93856,23956,54356,87757,18057,46157,72257,95958,18858,39358,58458,76458,93259,09759,26059,41759,56659,71959,87360,02960,18060,33460,48760,64160,793
Lower variant55,61855,93856,20756,47256,76157,01457,23757,43457,60157,75457,88057,98558,07258,14158,19858,24658,28058,29758,31058,31658,31658,30358,28658,26158,22858,183
Higher variant55,61855,93956,26656,60256,97357,31957,64657,95858,24958,53658,80559,06459,31759,56459,81360,06860,32260,57460,83561,10361,37861,65261,93462,22162,51462,812
Ten year average migration variant55,61855,82356,01056,20356,42556,61756,78556,93757,06857,19457,30057,39457,48057,55757,63257,71057,78357,85257,92758,00858,09458,17958,27058,36358,45958,556
Fifteen year average migration variant55,61855,85356,07456,30556,56756,79957,00557,19357,36057,52157,66257,79157,91058,02058,12958,24158,34858,45158,56058,67658,79958,92159,05059,18259,31859,454
Zero migration variant55,61855,56055,46755,34955,25655,13154,98254,83154,65354,47354,26254,03653,80253,55653,29253,02952,75952,48252,21551,95051,68951,42251,14850,87550,61350,342
[Collapse]CarmarthenshirePrincipal81,50581,81382,10882,42182,76283,09583,41483,71083,99484,27184,53584,78385,01785,24885,47185,69885,90986,10686,31886,53686,74486,94387,14087,34787,55787,772
Lower variant81,50581,81382,05582,30682,57582,82583,05083,24383,41483,56983,70483,81583,90283,97684,03184,07884,09884,09284,08584,07184,03483,97883,91083,84083,76083,673
Higher variant81,50581,81482,15282,51682,91783,31783,71084,08584,45484,82385,18585,53985,88686,23986,59386,96087,31987,67388,05188,44488,83789,22789,62190,03490,45690,894
Ten year average migration variant81,50581,75081,97582,21882,48582,74582,99183,21583,42983,63883,83684,02184,19584,36984,53884,71184,87185,02085,18285,35285,51485,66885,82185,98786,15586,331
Fifteen year average migration variant81,50581,90082,27382,66083,07083,47183,85684,21784,56384,90285,22785,53685,82986,12186,40586,69186,96187,21887,48787,76088,02388,27788,52688,78789,05089,317
Zero migration variant81,50581,30581,07780,85380,64080,41280,17279,92179,66179,38979,09278,78778,48578,18777,87677,57077,24376,90376,58476,27775,95475,62375,28974,97874,66674,360
[Collapse]SwanseaPrincipal108,874109,504110,077110,669111,299111,917112,512113,116113,734114,344114,952115,540116,126116,698117,259117,802118,321118,854119,387119,911120,402120,880121,369121,863122,349122,841
Lower variant108,874109,502110,012110,524111,060111,568112,038112,502112,967113,412113,846114,251114,642115,008115,350115,662115,937116,214116,476116,712116,899117,046117,177117,289117,377117,455
Higher variant108,874109,505110,131110,787111,495112,201112,894113,604114,337115,069115,809116,538117,273118,005118,735119,455120,162120,893121,634122,375123,096123,822124,577125,353126,132126,925
Ten year average migration variant108,874109,344109,776110,235110,738111,232111,705112,190112,692113,187113,682114,158114,631115,092115,545115,980116,392116,823117,258117,685118,083118,472118,877119,288119,693120,106
Fifteen year average migration variant108,874109,331109,754110,209110,711111,207111,680112,165112,669113,169113,669114,149114,630115,099115,559116,004116,427116,868117,316117,755118,168118,573118,994119,423119,845120,276
Zero migration variant108,874109,234109,577110,005110,539111,059111,438111,687111,946112,218112,491112,675112,775112,822112,851112,868112,850112,839112,806112,761112,685112,593112,515112,444112,346112,260
[Collapse]Neath Port TalbotPrincipal62,05462,24362,43862,65162,88763,14063,38563,60363,82664,03264,22964,42164,60564,77964,93765,10865,28365,46065,63565,80265,96966,13366,29766,46566,63166,799
Lower variant62,05462,24262,40062,56662,74762,93863,11263,25263,38863,50163,59963,68563,75663,81063,84063,87563,90563,92863,94063,93563,92263,89563,86363,82763,78163,728
Higher variant62,05462,24462,47062,72163,00163,30463,60463,88264,16864,44364,71464,98665,25565,52165,77766,05166,33666,63066,92767,22167,52367,82768,13668,45468,77469,102
Ten year average migration variant62,05462,18162,30362,44162,59862,77262,94463,08363,22763,35363,47463,59463,70263,80363,89363,99764,11164,22464,33664,43964,54764,65364,75864,86964,97865,089
Fifteen year average migration variant62,05462,23062,39662,57462,77062,98163,19163,36663,54463,70363,85864,01364,15564,29064,41364,55164,70064,84664,99165,12765,26865,40565,54165,68165,81865,956
Zero migration variant62,05462,03361,96861,88961,80861,74361,69461,59961,49661,36261,22361,09460,94260,77660,58460,41660,27460,11559,94359,75459,57359,40159,21859,04058,85158,647
[Collapse]BridgendPrincipal61,84262,28062,69263,10363,52863,93164,31864,68765,05165,40265,73766,05366,36166,65866,95467,24267,53367,82368,12468,40468,67568,93869,20169,45869,70969,958
Lower variant61,84262,28062,65263,01563,38363,71964,03164,31764,59064,84265,07365,27865,46865,63865,80065,94566,08466,21266,34266,44366,52466,59266,65366,69966,72966,749
Higher variant61,84262,28162,72563,17463,64664,10164,54664,97865,41065,83466,24866,64767,04567,43967,83968,23768,64469,05769,48769,90370,31570,72471,13771,54971,96072,378
Ten year average migration variant61,84262,17262,47562,77863,09763,39463,67563,94164,20364,45564,69364,91365,12865,33665,54465,74765,95366,16066,37966,58166,77566,96367,15167,33467,51167,689
Fifteen year average migration variant61,84262,20262,53662,87063,22163,54963,86264,15764,45064,73265,00165,25165,49465,73065,96766,19666,43066,66566,91167,14067,36167,57567,79067,99968,20268,405
Zero migration variant61,84261,86561,86261,84861,83961,80961,76361,72261,67961,61861,53061,42561,33761,24461,13961,02660,90860,80260,71460,59960,47660,35660,22960,09859,95959,817
[Collapse]Vale of GlamorganPrincipal57,23057,76258,29758,81659,35859,88560,38360,86361,31661,75062,17662,57562,96263,33563,70064,05164,38064,70665,03065,34665,65565,95566,26466,57366,88267,178
Lower variant57,23057,76158,26358,74059,23059,69660,12360,52460,88861,22661,55061,83962,10962,35862,58962,79862,97663,14463,29863,43763,55963,67063,78563,89463,99764,077
Higher variant57,23057,76358,32558,87859,46160,03760,59061,13161,65062,15662,66063,14363,62264,09364,56365,02665,47365,92466,37866,83267,28467,73168,18868,64969,11569,572
Ten year average migration variant57,23057,60557,98458,34858,73759,11359,46359,79660,10560,39860,68660,94961,20561,45061,69061,92062,12962,34162,55262,75962,96163,15863,36663,57763,79163,994
Fifteen year average migration variant57,23057,64658,06358,46458,88859,29659,67560,03760,37360,69361,00661,29461,57361,84162,10462,35562,58862,82363,05763,28763,51263,73163,96064,19264,42564,648
Zero migration variant57,23057,40157,54857,65457,76757,86557,94458,03858,10458,15058,18158,18158,20758,22658,23358,23058,20558,18158,15458,12458,07858,02257,96657,90157,84457,751
[Collapse]CardiffPrincipal153,204154,111154,868155,629156,459157,314158,213159,121160,052160,989161,893162,797163,695164,613165,509166,326167,095167,856168,591169,259169,854170,429171,006171,580172,121172,652
Lower variant153,204154,108154,775155,419156,105156,788157,489158,175158,863159,540160,173160,793161,395162,002162,574163,052163,466163,858164,200164,454164,611164,691164,720164,700164,617164,499
Higher variant153,204154,115154,942155,796156,742157,734158,788159,866160,982162,115163,228164,353165,484166,648167,802168,889169,940170,995172,038173,030173,967174,922175,917176,938177,947178,954
Ten year average migration variant153,204154,132154,930155,741156,626157,544158,508159,486160,488161,497162,471163,444164,411165,395166,357167,240168,077168,909169,715170,455171,127171,780172,438173,091173,711174,320
Fifteen year average migration variant153,204154,111154,892155,694156,578157,495158,459159,434160,435161,443162,419163,396164,368165,358166,327167,218168,064168,907169,725170,478171,166171,838172,515173,188173,828174,456
Zero migration variant153,204154,581155,898157,376159,063160,774162,336163,443164,503165,569166,621167,670168,649169,601170,545171,395172,171172,875173,530174,097174,589175,010175,373175,673175,857176,005
[Collapse]Rhondda Cynon TafPrincipal104,865105,506106,126106,748107,411108,033108,631109,205109,758110,302110,824111,336111,854112,374112,888113,403113,899114,401114,902115,408115,898116,402116,915117,424117,934118,437
Lower variant104,865105,505106,059106,599107,164107,672108,140108,570108,966109,342109,685110,009110,328110,638110,930111,211111,459111,700111,925112,139112,322112,502112,673112,822112,954113,064
Higher variant104,865105,507106,179106,866107,608108,319109,015109,695110,363111,029111,681112,332112,998113,676114,358115,050115,731116,428117,136117,858118,574119,317120,079120,848121,629122,414
Ten year average migration variant104,865105,377105,864106,352106,884107,376107,846108,296108,728109,155109,563109,962110,368110,780111,185111,591111,977112,369112,759113,154113,533113,927114,331114,731115,134115,533
Fifteen year average migration variant104,865105,445105,996106,545107,134107,681108,206108,710109,196109,676110,136110,589111,048111,512111,967112,423112,860113,300113,740114,182114,609115,051115,503115,952116,404116,851
Zero migration variant104,865105,232105,565105,888106,254106,553106,811107,030107,215107,388107,533107,646107,763107,874107,958108,040108,093108,142108,179108,209108,216108,241108,262108,275108,277108,266
[Collapse]Merthyr TydfilPrincipal24,86924,95525,02625,09625,17725,24525,31625,37225,42325,47125,51025,54725,58025,61525,65325,69225,72925,77125,81625,86425,90725,95926,00926,06526,12126,172
Lower variant24,86924,95425,01025,06025,11725,15825,19825,21925,23325,24125,23925,23225,21925,20625,19325,17825,15825,14025,12225,10425,07825,05825,03425,01324,98824,955
Higher variant24,86924,95525,03925,12425,22425,31325,40725,48725,56525,64025,70925,77725,84325,91425,98826,06726,14526,23126,32126,41726,51026,61326,71626,82626,93927,050
Ten year average migration variant24,86924,93324,98425,03325,09425,14125,19225,22725,25825,28625,30625,32525,34125,35925,38025,40325,42425,45025,48025,51225,53925,57525,60925,64825,68625,721
Fifteen year average migration variant24,86924,93024,97925,02625,08325,12925,17825,21125,23925,26525,28325,30025,31325,32925,34725,36925,38725,41125,43925,47025,49625,53125,56425,60325,64225,676
Zero migration variant24,86924,90524,92024,92624,93924,93524,93424,91924,89624,87124,83424,79124,74224,69524,64924,60424,55824,51624,48024,44824,40724,37824,34624,32224,29924,269
[Collapse]CaerphillyPrincipal76,65876,94977,20477,45677,72577,95778,17178,35078,50578,64678,78278,91179,02079,14279,27579,41279,53179,66579,79779,92180,06080,20680,36480,52180,68180,845
Lower variant76,65876,94977,15777,35177,55177,70377,82777,90677,95277,97677,98777,98577,95777,93277,91077,88377,83077,78377,72377,64677,57577,50377,43577,35777,27277,179
Higher variant76,65876,95077,24277,53977,86378,15878,44078,69378,92779,15479,38179,60779,82080,05180,30180,56180,81181,08181,35681,63081,92582,23182,55482,88383,22183,569
Ten year average migration variant76,65876,90677,11777,32577,55177,74177,91278,05178,16578,26778,36278,45178,52178,60278,69578,79178,86978,96479,05579,13979,24079,34879,46779,58779,71279,841
Fifteen year average migration variant76,65876,95377,20977,46077,72877,95978,17178,34878,50178,63978,77278,89679,00279,11879,24679,37779,48879,61679,74179,85879,99280,13280,28480,43780,59480,754
Zero migration variant76,65876,85977,00577,13577,27077,36077,42277,46577,47877,47277,45477,42477,36577,31077,25777,20477,12177,05576,97376,86876,78476,69876,62376,53176,43476,340
[Collapse]Blaenau GwentPrincipal31,07431,12831,17331,21831,28131,32731,38431,42531,45731,47731,49031,52031,54131,57431,60731,63731,68131,72631,77031,82231,87931,93731,99532,06032,12532,187
Lower variant31,07431,12831,15231,17331,20731,22031,24131,24231,23131,20531,16931,14731,11431,09031,06331,02831,00430,97630,94430,91430,88730,85530,82030,78730,74930,705
Higher variant31,07431,12931,19031,25531,34131,41331,49931,56931,63331,68731,73631,80531,86731,94432,02432,10232,19832,29632,39732,50932,62932,75232,87833,01333,15133,291
Ten year average migration variant31,07431,10131,11931,13631,17331,19331,22631,24331,25331,25031,24131,25031,25231,26631,28131,29231,31931,34631,37431,40931,45031,49131,53331,58231,63131,679
Fifteen year average migration variant31,07431,12231,15831,19531,25031,28931,34031,37531,40331,41731,42431,44931,46631,49531,52431,54831,58831,62931,66931,71631,77031,82431,87931,94132,00332,065
Zero migration variant31,07431,07431,05531,02431,00330,96130,93330,89730,84830,77930,69630,63130,55230,48330,40530,32130,25130,17830,09930,02529,96229,89929,83629,77529,71029,653
[Collapse]TorfaenPrincipal39,95840,14840,31640,48540,66740,83640,99641,13941,27741,40841,53041,66041,78741,91742,03742,15742,28142,40542,52342,64242,75742,87342,99243,11043,22243,331
Lower variant39,95840,14740,29140,42940,57540,70140,81240,90240,98241,04941,10541,16541,21941,26941,30641,33841,36841,39341,40741,41541,41541,41141,40541,39441,37141,340
Higher variant39,95840,14840,33740,53040,74240,94441,14141,32441,50541,68141,85242,03442,21842,40642,58942,77742,97143,16943,36643,56743,76843,97344,18344,39544,60544,817
Ten year average migration variant39,95840,08640,19140,29640,41740,52440,62340,70740,78640,85940,92440,99741,06941,14341,20741,27341,34441,41641,48341,55141,61741,68441,75441,82541,89141,955
Fifteen year average migration variant39,95840,07340,16840,26240,37140,46840,55640,62940,69940,76140,81740,88040,94241,00641,06141,11741,17741,23941,29641,35441,41041,46741,52841,59041,64741,704
Zero migration variant39,95840,00840,02840,03940,05840,05840,05640,04740,02940,00039,95939,92239,88539,84539,78639,72139,66139,60439,53839,46639,38939,31239,24139,17339,09339,012
[Collapse]MonmouthshirePrincipal40,11440,32840,53740,75540,98141,18541,37941,57441,75641,93442,10242,26242,41842,56542,71142,84642,96843,08743,19643,29743,39543,48943,58143,66843,76043,859
Lower variant40,11440,32740,51440,70540,89841,06441,21541,36041,48741,60541,70941,80041,88241,95042,01142,05642,08142,09842,09842,08342,06042,02941,99241,94641,89841,850
Higher variant40,11440,32840,55640,79741,05041,28741,51741,75241,97842,20342,42442,64042,85743,06943,28643,49543,69743,90044,09844,29244,48744,68244,87545,06845,26945,481
Ten year average migration variant40,11440,27440,43540,60540,78440,94341,09241,24241,38041,51541,64241,75941,87441,98042,08642,18042,26142,34142,41342,47742,53942,59942,65742,71342,77342,840
Fifteen year average migration variant40,11440,27040,43140,60440,78640,94941,10341,25741,39941,53741,66741,78841,90542,01442,12242,21942,30342,38542,45942,52542,59042,65342,71542,77442,83942,912
Zero migration variant40,11440,07040,01039,93739,86339,76239,64439,54339,43639,31139,17139,01438,87038,71338,55038,36538,16737,96737,75337,52237,28637,04536,78636,52336,26336,005
[Collapse]NewportPrincipal65,15765,75466,32666,90567,50668,09068,66769,21969,75970,26770,76171,25571,72172,20072,66773,13173,59674,05674,52474,99175,44975,91076,37876,85277,31377,765
Lower variant65,15765,75366,28266,80567,33867,84368,32868,77869,20669,59569,96270,32270,64770,97671,28671,58471,87372,14972,42272,68172,92373,16273,40173,63873,85574,054
Higher variant65,15765,75566,36166,98267,63768,28368,92969,55670,17770,77271,35971,95372,52673,11973,70774,29974,89875,50076,11776,74077,36177,99078,63079,28079,92380,563
Ten year average migration variant65,15765,59465,99966,40666,83667,25267,66868,06668,45968,82569,18269,54369,88070,23470,58070,92371,26971,61171,96372,31272,65172,99473,34473,70074,04474,381
Fifteen year average migration variant65,15765,52365,85766,19466,55666,90867,26167,59967,93368,24068,54168,84669,12969,43169,72470,01870,31470,60670,90971,21171,50371,80072,10572,41772,71973,014
Zero migration variant65,15765,43865,68165,91866,16766,39666,62066,84067,05667,24867,42267,59867,74967,92068,07868,24468,42168,58768,76968,93969,10669,28469,47869,68369,87570,060

Metadata

Title

2018-based household projections for Wales, Welsh Government

Last update

August 2021 August 2021

Next update

No longer updated. This will be replaced by a future projection.

Publishing organisation

Welsh Government

Source 1

2018-based household projections for Wales, Welsh Government

Contact email

stats.popcensus@gov.wales

Designation

National Statistics

Lowest level of geographical disaggregation

Local authorities

Geographical coverage

Local authorities

Languages covered

English and Welsh

Data licensing

You may use and re-use this data free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government License - see http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence

General description

Household projections for Wales produced by Knowledge and Analytical Services, Welsh Government.

The methodology has been developed in conjunction with the Wales Sub-national Projections Working Group (WaSP). Members of WaSP include representatives with experience of demographic and housing data from Welsh local authorities, Data Cymru and the Welsh Government.


Data collection and calculation

Household projections provide an indication of the future number of households and their composition in Wales. The 2018-based local authority household projections are based on the 2018-based local authority population projections. The household projections are also based on data about ‘household formation’. Assumptions about the formations, or different types, of households are based on 2001 and 2011 Census data, produced by the ONS. Household projections are not a prediction or forecast of how many houses should be built in the future. Instead, they show how many additional households would form if the population of Wales continues to change as it did between 2014 and 2018, and keeps forming households as it did between 2001 and 2011.

Five additional variant projections are also published alongside the principal projection. This includes a low population variant and a high population variant, as well as three variants based on alternative migration assumptions. These are a zero migration variant, a 10-year average migration variant and a 15-year average migration variant.

Further information can be found in the statistical release, link to which is in the weblink section.

Frequency of publication

No longer updated

Data reference periods

2018 - 2043

Revisions information

On Monday 18 May 2020, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) issued a notice on its website informing users that they had identified an error affecting the 2018-based national population projections. The error was caused by incorrect processing of cross-border flows between Wales and England, resulting in the projected mid-2028 population for Wales being approximately 65,000 too low, and that for England being approximately 65,000 too high.

Having consulted with our expert group about the implications for our statistical products that were based on the ONS’ 2018-based national population projections, we decided to withdraw the 2018-based local authority population projections and household projections.

The ONS published corrected 2018-based national population projections for Wales on Thursday 11 June. The Welsh Government published corrected 2018-based local authority population projections on Tuesday 4 August. These local authority household projections are based on the corrected 2018-based local authority population projections. Further information about the corrections can be found in the 2018-based local authority household projections release, as well as an analysis of how these corrected projections compare with the previously published projections.


Keywords

Households, projections

Statistical quality

See the statistical release in weblinks.

Name

HOUS0117